Security
Every president from Obasanjo to Buhari inherited the fight over the oil-producing Niger Delta. Escalating violence under Obasanjo gave way to Yar'Adua's 2009 amnesty — widely seen as the single most successful policy of his term — and two administrations since have worked to sustain it without ever finishing the region's promised clean-up and development.
Militancy escalated significantly across the term, including the deadly November 1999 Odi military reprisal operation in Bayelsa State, and the emergence of the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) by 2005-2006. Oil theft, kidnappings, and pipeline attacks were worse at the end of the term than the beginning; a negotiated amnesty was not reached until the following administration.
The Presidential Amnesty Proclamation of 25 June 2009 offered unconditional pardon to militants who surrendered arms in exchange for stipends, training, and reintegration support. Over 20,000 militants accepted amnesty, and oil production and pipeline security improved markedly for the remainder of the term — widely regarded as the single most successful policy achievement of the administration.
The amnesty programme continued to pay stipends and fund training for over 26,000 ex-agitators, and the relative calm allowed oil production to recover through most of the term. However, remediation of oil-polluted land and the promised industrialisation of the Niger Delta made little visible progress, leaving the underlying grievances unresolved.
The Amnesty Programme continued with stipends for over 30,000 ex-agitators, and pipeline vandalism eased for stretches after the 2016 Niger Delta Avengers campaign. However, environmental remediation (Ogoni clean-up/HYPREP) moved slowly, and militancy resurged periodically whenever amnesty funding or stipends lapsed.
Each entry is one rated promise — follow it to that administration’s full scorecard. Ratings use the four verdicts defined in the methodology.